Real Estate Financing...

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Is It Really So Bad....?

                                                                

The media and our industry have been crazed with news of the subprime market, in its disasterous state, and how that very state may lure our very economy into a downslide of Apocalyptic proportions.  I'll try to be as diplomatic as possible.  We, at times, are a society of drama queens....waiting to feast on what is so very, very, bad.  Well, let me also say something else, "Is It Really So Bad?"

No assumptions, no accusations, just a few tidbits of my off the cuff thoughts that may not have been delved into and 'hyped' up enough.  EXAMPLES:  Is it possible the economy could take some of the blame and inspiration for what is happening on the 'other side' of the mortgage market?  Is it feasible that a hike in the price of the very necessities many of us count on....heat (oil), transportation (gas), may have a tad little bit to do with what is going one?  Some point out >>>The subprime market was making risking loans......YES THEY WERE!  But risky loans are risky also because of risky borrowers.  How about some of that responsibility falling on them and their financial choices along the way?  I recently posted a blog from an email I received from the Pennsylvania Association of Mortgage Brokers about a Consumer Advocacy Group wanting to regulate the costs of mortgage loans to 3%.  I have an idea, why don't we regulate the prices of gas as well?  If we are going to regulate capitalism, we might as well be consistent...I think at least, and Regulate Capitalism.  How much does that Attorney/Accountant/Cleaning Lady/Iron Worker/Doctor/Bartender/Entertainer make....doesn't matter, it is too much.  Let's try to regulate that too.   Damn, there goes my diplomatic mood I wanted to portray in this post!

Let me step off my proverbial high horse of thought, my initial idea in even writing this was one of looking at things not so much from a different angle, but trying to breath in every bit of reality I can muster.  That deep breath led me to the thought, "Is It Really So Bad?"

  Yeah, in many circles it is bad, in fact...a nightmare.  But you can't have the good, without the bad.  Afterall, you take the good, take the bad, take them both and there you have...The Facts of Life, THE FACTS OF LIFE!!!    Sorry, that was unnessary...I was actually singing that in real life.  Back to my point.  You can't feel love, without knowing hate.  You can't have a boom, without a bust being an eventual reality.  What is going on now is simply a response to that very boom.  So, where does that leave us as professionals?

I've been doing this for a little more than a mere five years, so what do I know?  There are so many of you out there more seasoned than me.  So, what do I know that hasn't been thought of.....if anything?  Not sure, but I'm very sure I will tell you what I think.

-As the industry contracts, the strong will survive and perhaps expand, which is good for consumers who really only need/want a true professional in transactions that are of such importance that they involve the very roofs over their heads.

-As the parameters tighten up with lenders, being approved for a loan to buy a home will become more difficult.  Yet, that will ensure that when you apply for a mortgage and are eventually approved as a consumer, you may actually be ready to afford the responsibilities of home ownership....financial and otherwise.

-65% of mortgages done in this nation, at my last statistical working knowledge, are done my mortgage brokers.  (I must point out, as a broker...perhaps I'm bias on this.  Of course I am...)  A lot of heat is and will come down on some of the less than ethical boys and gals in our particular profession.  Some of it is very relevant and long overdue.  Yet, I once dated a corporate attorney for a highly recognized corporate entity and when finding out that I was a mortgage broker she said, "You guys are schysters!"  I responded, "Laura, you are a freaking ATTORNEY!"  There are schysters in every profession...but if you are good and true to your cause (your clients)...they will benefit by what you do.  The shrinking of that industry, my industry, will ensure the removal of a lot of the bad and ensure the good remain true and strong to our cause. 

- A las, I would like to point out the true thing that I hope happens with all this fuss over what is going on in the mortgage industry.  The very thing that may not only help our economy, help the industry, but submerge our culture in a new wave of that thing that has helped make humanity so strong.....KNOWLEDGE.  The attention to our industry I hope, will lead to education in our high schools, our colleges, and in our homes, with our families and conversations with our friends, about credit and buying a home.  I hope it better equips and educates our industry because of mistakes made in the past.  I hope it makes the bulk of us less ignorant as to the why's, where's, how's, what's, when's, of home ownership.  I hope and think all this negative attention will make our culture's thirst for that knowledge greater.  Perhaps it will increase our Pride of Ownership.....of Real Estate...of Knowledge.

Is It Really That Bad?  Perhaps, but maybe it just has to be to ensure it becomes so very good all over again.

 

 

15 commentsJason Sardi, Mortgage Banker • March 28 2007 09:20PM

Comments

This is only the 2nd time I've added a comment to someone's post our here in "blog land". Of course, that's only because I'd never blogged before joining AR recently. Anyway...

I've been a practicing (part-time) Realtor for just shy of 3-years, while still holding strong to an almost 20-year rental/mgmnt position in the Hospitality field with various resorts up and down the east coast. I'm in Lincoln New Hampshire now, and our community's very survival depends on tourism. Although our more than 750k acreas of White Mountain Nat'l. forest offers an abundance of options, we're best known for Loon Mountain, which is one of New England's most popular ski resorts. My apologies Jason, still trying to get a better grasp on that whole "tags" thing. I'll get to my point...

Lots of new development in recent years (Mountain Vacation homes) and, with a steady population of about 1400 - which can swell to multiple 10's of 1000's (as is the case this weekend) - those "seasoned veterans" within the industry, although receptive and kind, are protective of their turf. Basically, I have a lot of time to do research and educate myself, and have taken a special interest in the mortgage market. From what I've gathered during my research, the media's "subprime tsunami" headlines aren't entirely accurate anyway? Subprimes make up about 10% of overall market and - after figuring in other variables - its effect will be roughly 0.5% nationally? Granted, not good news for that 1 of every 200 families but, in this layman's eyes, not as bad as they make it out to be.

Posted by Scott Mosher - Loon Mountain Real Estate Lincoln & Woodstock NH (Northstar Realty Sales) over 2 years ago
Well some people will only tell you how bad it is, and how bad it is going to get.  Well I am a sells person, I will sell homes in any market.  So I really never think it is that bad.
Posted by Rosemont Financial Inc over 2 years ago

1 out of 200 is a LARGE number in this scenario. (it's a huge investment - to put a roof over a head, to borrow money, etc). So - YES, I think it's BAD. 

However , I am seeing positives, and trying to HELP those in 'trouble' BEFORE they get hit.

I need solid mortgage brokers to help in my cause.

 

Posted by Rob Robinson- Lehigh Valley PA (Bertrum Settlements (Title & Abstract)) over 2 years ago

Scott - Well done.  Also of note, shops solely reliant on sub-prime, 100% financing, stated programs, will be the ones that go under sooner rather than later.

Beth-  True, true.   People will always buy homes.

Rob-  Your cause?  Fill me in, you've sparked my interest.

Posted by Jason Sardi, Mortgage Banker (FHA-VA-USDA-Conventional-Pennsylvania Loans) over 2 years ago

Jason - something we kicked around over here.  You know - we jump 'outta the box' once in awhile and come up with 'unique' plans to generate business. 

In this case, we would need a few mortgage brokers to support the idea (it would really be their lead generator - we would HOPEFULLY get the Title work).

I asked Ann to help me late yesterday....and would like to keep it low key until we see if we can pull it off. I have NO problem if she shares our conversation with you (AND SCOTT).

We would PROBABLY be looking at 2 other Brokerages to participate (it helps in the project 'sell' and provides diversified talents. ... including language concerns)

Posted by Rob Robinson- Lehigh Valley PA (Bertrum Settlements (Title & Abstract)) over 2 years ago

Rob, I'll ask her when she gets in or you can just shoot me an email.  I am all about lead generation...would love to hear and help.

Posted by Jason Sardi, Mortgage Banker (FHA-VA-USDA-Conventional-Pennsylvania Loans) over 2 years ago
Rob, I think the idea itself is very good....it will take some time though, like all good things I suppose.
Posted by Jason Sardi, Mortgage Banker (FHA-VA-USDA-Conventional-Pennsylvania Loans) over 2 years ago

That was a wonderful piece but together. I really liked it and would be honored to have you join my group.

it is called: http://activerain.com/groups/KentuckyProfessionals

Thanks so much

Ben

Posted by Q Q (Q) over 2 years ago
Thank you very much Ben!  I will definately join your group.
Posted by Jason Sardi, Mortgage Banker (FHA-VA-USDA-Conventional-Pennsylvania Loans) over 2 years ago

Jason,

We are just working on a basic proposal today to submit to the mayor. (a general overview).  Our owner has little doubt he can, at minimum, have an audience with the Honorable Mayor Pawlowski. We want to get a feel for the 'need' ASAP prior to a full blown proposal / logistics program.

I think we all agree it will take some time if adopted, but it really has both short and long term upside offerings from a government and citizen standpoint. 

Glad 'you guys' are interested and I ALWAYS want to have people like yourselves to bang ideas against.

Posted by Rob Robinson- Lehigh Valley PA (Bertrum Settlements (Title & Abstract)) over 2 years ago

Rob,

That sounds great and I will be interested to see what type of response the feelers you send out will get.  As far as the 'need'....that too shall be interesting.  Keep me updated, as the gameplan from all sides will have to be well sought out to make sure help, if it is needed, can truly be provided both in the short and long term.

Posted by Jason Sardi, Mortgage Banker (FHA-VA-USDA-Conventional-Pennsylvania Loans) over 2 years ago
I don't think that it is, bad just hyped up by the press.
Posted by Edward over 2 years ago
I won't disagree Edward, but a better understanding of the industry wouldn't be a bad idea.
Posted by Jason Sardi, Mortgage Banker (FHA-VA-USDA-Conventional-Pennsylvania Loans) over 2 years ago

Great post,

 I have been defending our profession for months now. The current change is not only needed but over due!

Posted by Scott McDonald over 2 years ago
Agreed Scott.  I see that you aren't a member here per se, what part in this industry do you play?
Posted by Jason Sardi, Mortgage Banker (FHA-VA-USDA-Conventional-Pennsylvania Loans) over 2 years ago

Participate



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